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Sender: "piclist-bounces@mit.edu" Date: Fri, 1 Jan 2021 18:55:42 -0800 Subject: [OT]: Failure Analysis - The bathtub looks more like a twintub Thread-Topic: [OT]: Failure Analysis - The bathtub looks more like a twintub Thread-Index: AdbgtD8lUV4ce54yQlCWaytYyxExWQ== Message-ID: List-Help: List-Subscribe: , List-Unsubscribe: , Reply-To: Microcontroller discussion list - Public. Accept-Language: en-US X-MS-Exchange-Organization-AuthAs: Anonymous X-MS-Exchange-Organization-AuthSource: TS500.efplus4.local X-MS-Has-Attach: X-Auto-Response-Suppress: All X-MS-Exchange-Organization-SenderIdResult: Pass X-MS-Exchange-Organization-PRD: mit.edu X-MS-TNEF-Correlator: received-spf: Pass (protection.outlook.com: domain of gmail.com designates 209.85.216.53 as permitted sender) receiver=protection.outlook.com; client-ip=209.85.216.53; helo=mail-pj1-f53.google.com; dkim-signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=gmail.com; s=20161025; h=mime-version:from:date:message-id:subject:to; bh=9ucIfCK4pnQs8NWB3BU0BVv26IOpL9GhuAB7w0sT8fM=; b=lMSCiOGH++8IQVobt0b3rEBtmLvu67ooP2eWOqX6LFdJeDSOAPgucbcM8OdtqS9D1S ExaqpRNEl2VU86+kNIer/elWss8cLgYyW3wm7eQ2ladlyQ8LCBJDqCvZsjEVPZIWO2jH cr8JgPzq91AL22LCtCGHPOxfvu+9OLc3epzK3DgAh/OHBrWkTao/txS10caPAXrdCq34 6l9NBgSB4s4uoXkIWk188bGrxi4nmzD3PElXjG0+Pa40LCzt40iZLiS7aOJAN9HNKWSv 2o+KA5R7gPqSbMOwqWkommikciJe270c/+b3Jos46eaatb2jxEatKJaoNRoWODROU0XI 7VIA== authentication-results: spf=pass (sender IP is 209.85.216.53) smtp.mailfrom=gmail.com; mit.edu; dkim=pass (signature was verified) header.d=gmail.com; mit.edu; dmarc=pass action=none header.from=gmail.com; errors-to: piclist-bounces@mit.edu list-id: "Microcontroller discussion list - Public." list-post: x-beenthere: piclist@mit.edu x-mailman-version: 2.1.6 x-received: by 2002:a17:90a:d90e:: with SMTP id c14mr19938836pjv.85.1609556154161; Fri, 01 Jan 2021 18:55:54 -0800 (PST) x-topics: [OT] x-content-filtered-by: Mailman/MimeDel 2.1.6 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable MIME-Version: 1.0 I have ~20 years of failure data to hand for various devices including PSU's, Amplifiers and Air Conditioners etc and was curious if there were any interesting patterns. Using Excel and its data analysis tools I have to conclude that the histograms generally look more like a twintub or W rather than a bathtub. There are lots of variables here and I may have biased myself into seeing W shapes so not sure how valid all this is. The middle peak shifts left or right by a year or so around the 10 year mark depending on the item but then drops away until the failure rate begins to increase again. The resulting graphs have more area under the curve to the right (mostly) which I guess I was expecting, just wasn't expecting the middle peak. I thought it worthy of sharing and interested to know if others have witnessed similar failure patterns that deviate from the bathtub Justin --=20 http://www.piclist.com/techref/piclist PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist .