RussellMc wrote: > > This will be completely familiar to the experts. > What they conclude or how much we hear at populist level is tbd. > I don't think there is much sense in getting deeper in the topic. If you had said in your first post about the Kaikoura Canyon, that there was a 4+M shake in the region, I, most probably had avoided the prediction. The idea of it is on the surface, get the timespan between first 2 quakes to calculate the third. Just a speculation, probably is not the best thing to be posted on the public forum, sorry. --=20 http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist .