On Apr 10, 2008, at 3:23 PM, Alex Harford wrote: > http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/08/science/08tier.html?_r=3D1&oref=3Dslogin >> "when you stick with Door 1, you=92ll win only if your original = >> choice was correct, which happens only 1 in 3 times on average. If = >> you switch, you=92ll win whenever your original choice was wrong, = >> which happens 2 out of 3 times." That's about the most concise, understandable, and believable = explanation I've ever seen for the Monty Hall Problem. Three cheers = for John Tierney! BillW -- = http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist