peter green wrote:
> Look how long DVD took to replace VHS despite it's numerous advantages. 
> Now consider that blue-ray/hd-dvd have only one real advantage (quality).
>   
I suspect there are two things which slowed the VHS replacement, which 
aren't really relevant today:

1) Inability to record on DVD.  Today, people don't expect to do so.  
When timeshifting they use a PVR.

2) Lack of upwards compatibility.  Try as you might a VHS tape just 
plain won't fit into a DVD player... and if you do succeed I have a 
feeling that it won't play very well :).   All Blu-Ray players that I 
know of also play DVD. 

I suspect that as DVD players break, many people will begin to purchase 
Blu-Ray replacements.   True, the cost is high today, but it will come 
down.  Playstation 3's are already down to $300 or so, and you get 
pretty decent gaming hardware as a bonus.   People can still play DVD's 
on their Blu-Ray players, but it will enable them to start collecting 
movies on BluRay instead.

-forrest



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