> >> Is that really correct? Surely the host always picks a known non-prize > >> door, > >> and gives the contestant a second choice, whether or not they picked > >> the correct one? > > > >That's my understanding as well, the hosts behaviour is always the same. > >After the contestant selects a door, the host will always open one of > >the other doors with a goat behind it. The behaviour is the same > >whether or not the contestant picked the car on his first choice. > = > So then the first choice is irrelevant, and it comes down to 50:50 chance = > that you pick the right one. = > = No, you always win if you initially pick a goat and then switch doors (sinc= e = the host has to pick the other goat). 2/3 chance of winning. /Ruben =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D Ruben J=F6nsson AB Liros Electronic Box 9124, 200 39 Malm=F6, Sweden TEL INT +46 40142078 FAX INT +46 40947388 ruben@pp.sbbs.se =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D -- = http://www.piclist.com PIC/SX FAQ & list archive View/change your membership options at http://mailman.mit.edu/mailman/listinfo/piclist