Rutan's SpaceShipOne will attempt to become 1st manned civilian craft to
reach "space"
Space defined as 100 kilometres / 62 miles.

        http://www.scaled.com/projects/tierone/New_Index/news/062104.htm

SS1 will have pilot only for this flight.
If no problems, expect an X prize attempt within a month or so.

Success is probable.
Death is possible.

Note that this is nowhere near an orbital flight. Peak velocity is about
Mach 3.
This is reasonably comparable to the X15 program and is beyond the X1.
Details on above site.

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